The Manifest Issue 17 07 NOV 2026

Schrödinger’s Joke leads Issue 17: the merger question the record can answer; eleven days to the Board’s comment date; two dates for the railroad’s paper; and listening before taking control.

Everybody wants to know whether he meant it. That's the wrong question, and nobody can answer it. Here is the one the record can answer: what does this merger let a railroad do to a shipper, and what stops it?

Section I

The Read

Schrödinger’s Joke leads this issue.

The Docket counts the eleven days left before opposition to the Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern application is due at the Board, and reads a smaller file from Conshohocken, Pennsylvania, where a shipper has asked a new owner for rates.

Field Doctrine turns the same habit on the railroad’s own paper. Every agreement, restriction and test record has an age, and it takes two dates to fix it.

Below the reads, the week on the Wire, and then the work: two fires in the wheat country and one bottle on the unit, and the Code of Railroading on why listening isn’t passive.

Pull up a seat on the point.

Section II

From the Field

Schrödinger’s Joke

Everybody wants to know whether he meant it. That's the wrong question, and nobody can answer it. Here is the one the record can answer: what does this merger let a railroad do to a shipper, and what stops it?

One thing first, so nobody reads this as a vote. It isn't one. I'm not endorsing this merger either way, and nothing in this piece should be read or received as a tacit vote for it or against it. My firm and I have no skin in the game, save for our clients, who pay us for objective evidence for their best position, irrespective of the outcome. I'm just keeping it real.

Read the full article →

Section III

The Docket

Eleven Days to the Comment Date

FD 36873, Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern control: the Board has kept its calendar. FD 36918, Conshohocken: the buyer has answered, and a shipper has asked for rates.

The Board has not moved the date. On 18 September 2026, in Decision No. 37, the full Board denied the motions, filed by BNSF and CSX among others, asking it to reject the Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern control application without a hearing on the merits, and it repeated the next mark: comments, protests and requests for conditions are due 18 November 2026. The Board wrote that its decision to proceed “does not reflect any determination on the merits.” Board Member Kloster concurred separately.

Since then the record has run on discovery. The administrative law judge issued rulings on 1, 8, 16 and 23 October 2026. On 6 October the Board granted leave to three railroads to file descriptions of anticipated responsive applications: the Chicago, South Shore & South Bend, the Great Basin & Northern, and the Iowa Interstate; the same decision accepted, without a motion, a fourth description from the Canton Railroad. On 26 October the Allied Rail Unions and the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen entered a protest and opposition statement.

Then the Board ruled. On 4 November 2026 it served three decisions. In Decision No. 45 the full Board denied Union Pacific’s appeal of the order making the SWARS video public, and denied as moot its stay motion and CPKC’s motion to enforce. It ordered Union Pacific to file a verified statement by 5:00 p.m. ET on 5 November certifying that it has redesignated the video and served a copy on all parties of record. Union Pacific filed that statement on 5 November (UP-127), certifying the redesignation and service on all parties of record, so the case stays on schedule and the 18 November comment date stands. In Decision No. 44 the administrative law judge denied CSXT’s motion to compel and moved the discovery conference to 25 November at 10:00 a.m. ET. In Decision No. 46 the Board denied CXRG’s petition, granted in part and denied in part the CPKC and CN petitions on responsive applications, and waived paper copies for all responsive applications.

The calendar below is the one the Board set in Decision No. 30 of 18 August 2026, as published in the Federal Register on 20 August.

STB Decision No. 30, FD 36873, 91 FR 53927, 20 August 2026; 18 November reconfirmed in Decision No. 37, 18 September 2026.

No hearing date, no close of the record, and no decision date can be computed from the record as it stands.

FD 36918 · Across the Schuylkill. The second file is smaller and closer to the ground. 900 Conshohocken Rail LLC holds an exemption, effective 12 July 2026, to acquire an approximately 11-mile line at Conshohocken, Pennsylvania from Cleveland-Cliffs Railways Inc., doing business as the Upper Merion & Plymouth Railroad. On 31 August Mike Huhn asked the Board to revoke it. He raised concerns that track would be removed for parking tied to a data center planned for the old mill property, and that the buyer lacks rail experience. On 8 October the Board directed the buyer to respond.

It responded on 28 October. The buyer expects to close in November. A related entity is acquiring the former mill site, and some ancillary tracks there are expected to come out. The buyer says that work will not sever or adversely affect the regulated trackage that runs from near the mill across the Schuylkill River to the Norfolk Southern connection. Service will come from the buyer or a contract operator, and it “will not be precluded from providing rail service when needed.” It says there would be no basis to consider revocation.

The same day, Plymouth Industrial Center, Inc. told the Board that it opposes any removal of rail infrastructure or end of service on the line, and that on 19 October it delivered a formal request to the buyer for common carrier rates and terms. It asked to be added to the service list. As of 1 November no decision had issued.

Sources: STB dockets FD 36873 and FD 36918, filings 312756 and 312757, 28 October 2026; STB decisions records, checked 1 November 2026

Read the filing, FD 36918 filing 312757, Reply of 900 Conshohocken Rail LLC, 28 October 2026 →

Section IV

Field Doctrine

The Age of the Paper

Every railroad keeps a roster of its power, with a date on every unit. The paper it runs on has dates too. Two of them tell you how old it is.

Every property keeps a roster of its power, and every unit on it carries a date. The paper the railroad runs on carries dates too. They are just harder to find.

Start with three kinds of paper. The operating agreement, signed once and read closely never again. The board of restrictions, where a speed limit imposed for one season can still be standing years later. And the testing program, whose record can show that a test was given without showing what it found. Nobody wrote any of them carelessly. Each was someone’s answer to a real problem, on the day it was written. The question is whether that day is still the one the railroad is living in.

The paper has an age, and it takes two dates to fix it. The first is the day the item was imposed. The second is the day someone last read it closely, start to finish, against the railroad as it runs now. The gap between those two dates is the age of the paper.

Run it on your own property. Take one agreement, one board of restrictions and one testing program. For each line item, write the date it was imposed and the date it was last read closely. Where you cannot find a date, leave the box blank. A blank is a finding too.

Then read the gaps. The oldest one is not automatically wrong; some paper ages well. It is simply the one nobody now on the property chose. Someone will read it eventually: the owner at renewal, the lender at closing, or counsel at a hearing. Better that the first close reading is yours.

Operators who want the seven questions and the worksheet for their own operating agreement can ask for the Operating Agreement Read at solutions@steelwheels.co.

Section V

Intelligence Briefing

$1.24 billion to take crossings out. On 30 October 2026 USDOT named 91 Railroad Crossing Elimination grants in 37 states, among them $72 million to the Port Authority of Kansas City for three crossings.

Source: USDOT, 30 October 2026

$2.3 billion in CRISI selections. On 19 October 2026 USDOT named 105 CRISI projects in 45 states and DC, including $218 million for Hiawatha West in Wisconsin.

Source: USDOT, 19 October 2026

$416 million for Florida rail. On 6 October 2026 USDOT marked $356 million for crossing upgrades at 910 Florida locations and $57 million for a Brightline station and double track at Cocoa.

Source: USDOT, 6 October 2026

Rail export manifests go electronic. CBP’s ACE rule took effect 26 October 2026: rail cargo bound for Canada or Mexico needs an initial filing 24 hours before departure, the rest two hours before. Enforcement begins 26 October 2027.

Source: 91 FR 55170, 26 August 2026

CSX traffic 46 percent down for 29 hours. A 27 October 2026 systems outage cut CSX off from interchange. RailState counted traffic 46 percent under its 30-day average; by 29 October interchange had resumed.

Source: Trains, 29 October 2026

Section VI

Class I Dispatch

Source: CPKC Q3: $4.2 billion, up 15 percent.

OR 64.8 percent; RTMs up 6 percent; core adjusted EPS $1.28.

CPKC, 28 October 2026

Source: CPKC renews, expands Elk Valley coal deal.

Five years from 1 January 2027: four B.C. mines to Westshore and Neptune.

CPKC, 28 October 2026

Source: NS, Schneider team on intermodal.

Schneider adds some 23,900 chassis, 26,800 containers.

Norfolk Southern

Source: CN third-quarter revenue up 15 percent.

Revenues C$4,771 million; operating ratio 63.7 percent (61.0 adjusted); adjusted diluted EPS C$2.16, up 18 percent; RTMs up 4 percent.

CN, 30 October 2026

Section VII

On the Labor Front

BLET ratifies on the DM&E. Members ratified a five-year CPKC agreement for the Dakota, Minnesota & Eastern, with raises for engineers, conductors and brakemen and gains on meal allowances, personal-leave flexibility and work rules.

Source: BLET, 28 October 2026

Soo Line conductors ratify; 81 percent voted. SMART-TD conductors on CPKC’s Soo Line (GCA 261) approved a three-year deal to 31 December 2027, 75.6 percent in favor, vote closed 15 October. Retroactive raises, another 1 January 2027.

Source: SMART, 23 October 2026

The crafts file in the merger case. On 26 October 2026 the Allied Rail Unions (BMWED, BRS, IAM District 19, TCU and TWU) and the BLET entered a protest and opposition statement in FD 36873, ahead of the Board’s 18 November comment date.

STB, Docket No. FD 36873, filing 312736, 26 October 2026

Section VIII

Regulatory Wire

Two more filings in the merger case. On 30 October 2026 CPKC asked the Board (CPKC-64) to end the merger case without granting control. The Pacific Northwest Waterways Association urged denial.

STB, FD 36873, filings 312764 and 312768, 30 October 2026

More time on the QMI waivers. FRA extended comment on CSX and Union Pacific petitions for relief from the 33-day QMI daily inspection to 2 December 2026 (FRA-2026-1684, FRA-2026-1420).

91 FR 69034 and 69035, 2 November 2026

Track Safety Standards paperwork up for renewal. FRA is taking comment on renewing the information collection behind 49 CFR part 213 (OMB 2130-0010), which it estimates at 234,274 burden hours a year. Comments close 14 December 2026 (Docket FRA-2026-1589).

Source: 91 FR 65291, 14 October 2026

Section IX

Equipment & Fleet

Greenbrier closes fiscal 2026 with 14,000 units in backlog. Fourth-quarter orders were 3,400 units worth $600 million against 3,600 deliveries. Backlog is valued at about $2.1 billion; net earnings were $9 million, $0.27 a share.

Source: Greenbrier, 26 October 2026

Trinity booked more cars than it built. Third-quarter revenue $535 million; orders of 2,190 railcars outran 2,030 deliveries; backlog $1.6 billion. It sees 2026 industry deliveries under 25,000.

Source: Trinity, 29 October 2026

Section X

Transit & High-Speed Rail

$550 million for the S-Line. FRA Federal-State Partnership funds for Raleigh–Richmond; the state says the trip gets over an hour faster.

Source: NC Governor’s Office, 15 October 2026

Section XI

Closing Note

A week ago the Department named ninety-one grants for crossings, and somewhere on that list is a county road where a school bus waits on a train every morning, and a crew on the point watches the gate arms come down and does not breathe until they do. The release names the sponsor and the dollar figure. It never names the signal maintainer called out at two in the morning to make those arms work. Eleven days to the comment date in Washington, and the trains run tonight regardless. The number is not the work. The work is the gate arm coming down on time.

Section XII

Field Notes From The Edge

The Fire Behind You

Running east out of Wilbur with the stubble down, a feather of smoke in the mirror, and one bottle on the unit.

Running east out of Wilbur with the stubble cut and gone brown on both sides, and I caught it in the mirror. A thin gray feather standing up off the right-of-way behind the power, leaning with the wind, where nothing had been standing a minute before.

The exhaust had been throwing sparks. Everybody knew it.

Wheat country in the dry does not need much. A carbon ember off a stack, a ditch that has not seen rain in months, and the whole slope goes.

I stopped the train. Then I did the thing nobody does, which is back it up, because the fire was behind me and the extinguisher was on the unit and there was no third option. One bottle. One man. Nobody on the radio and nobody coming.

It went out. Beat, smothered, kicked apart, gone. I stood in it long enough to be sure, then went and got my train and took it east.

The second one was near Hanson, and it was worse, because when I went to the rack every bottle on that unit was dead. Empty. Not one of them would have put out a wastebasket. So I stood in dry stubble and watched a fire burn with nothing in my hands, and it burned itself out on bare ground, and I did not leave until it did.

There is no lesson in the first fire that is not also in the second. A man does his duty with whatever somebody else left him. The bottles were somebody’s job. The stack was somebody’s job. The fire was mine, because I was the one who was there.

That is most of what the work is.

(25Aug26 ©)

Read the full account UNVERIFIED: no published URL found for The Fire Behind You (checked SWC Substack and The Code of Railroading, 5 November 2026) →

Section XIII

From the Ballast Line

Listening Isn’t Passive

The Code of Railroading · Field Notes From The Edge

When people picture a leader, they usually picture someone with answers. Giving direction. Solving problems. Taking control when things start to break down. In railroading that instinct shows up fast, because when time is tight and the operation starts stacking, nobody is looking for a discussion. They are looking for a decision.

So leaders step in. They take over. They solve the problem. And in the moment, it works. But over time something starts to happen: the more a leader solves every problem, the less the crew or the gang learns how to solve them. You don’t build capability. You build dependence.

Listening sounds simple. It isn’t. It requires the one thing most people in charge struggle with, which is not being the one with the answer.

Listening isn’t passive. It is understanding the situation before you try to control it, and giving your people the room to use their own experience and judgment.

Stop listening and you don’t just lose input. You lose awareness. Situational awareness. Clarity disappears. And out here, that is where problems fester, mutate, and turn into a costly fiasco that never had to happen.

The result is a crew that knows they can handle it. Not because they were told what to do, but because they figured it out when it counted.

“The leader who talks the most understands the least. Know the ground before you move on it.”

Read Entry No. UNVERIFIED (Listening Isn’t Passive is not yet among the entries listed at thecodeofrailroading.com, checked 5 November 2026) at The Code of Railroading →

Section XIV

From the SteelWheels.Co Desk

When the SITREP has gone to hell and the plan is in the ditch, that is the call I take. Distressed project rescue, terminal and network turnaround, owner’s representation, regulatory and docket work. Railroading since 1980, from switching yards and locomotive rebuilds to multimillion-dollar capital programs. I do not work the chart. I work the ballast. The condition on the ground is the only status report that ever told the truth.

“Every night when you reported for duty, he already had a plan. The work was organized, the information was there, and you were set up to succeed—not set up to fail.”

Dylan Jones, former brakeman and conductor

Put SWC on your problem: solutions@steelwheels.co · 928-605-7984